Participants in a cohort study are grouped according to their
exposure status. In many cohort studies two groups of people
are compared, namely an “exposed group†and an “unexposed
groupâ€. For example, comparisons might be made between
children who have received the MMR vaccine (exposed group)
and children who haven‟t received the MMR vaccine
(unexposed group). Or comparisons might be made between
smokers (exposed group) and non-smokers (unexposed group).
However, you will also encounter studies where more than two
groups will be compared and where researchers divide study
participants into a number of groups with different levels of
exposure. For example, in a cohort study investigating the
association between caffeine consumption during pregnancy and
miscarriage, women were categorised into three groups:
a) women who consumed ≥ 200mg caffeine/day, b) women
who consumed <200mg caffeine/day, c) women who consumed
0mg caffeine/day.
In a cohort study, the groups being compared will be „followed up‟ over a period of time and the incidence of the outcome of
interest will be compared between the groups e.g. researchers
might compare the incidence of autism between groups of
children who have and haven‟t received the MMR vaccine; or
they might compare the incidence of lung cancer between
smokers and non-smokers; or they might compare the incidence
of miscarriage between women with different levels of daily
caffeine consumption etc.6
Two incidence measures can be used to compare the groups:
a) the risk (cumulative incidence) of the outcome of interest can
be calculated in the „exposed‟ and „unexposed‟ groups. The
relative risk can then be calculated by dividing the risk of the
outcome in the exposed group by the risk of the outcome in the
unexposed group.
b) The „incidence rate‟ of the outcome of interest can be
calculated in the „exposed‟ and „unexposed‟ groups (e.g. we can
compare the incidence rate of lung cancer in smokers and nonsmokers). The “incidence rate ratio†can then be calculated by
dividing the incidence rate of the outcome in the exposed group
by the incidence rate of the outcome in the unexposed group.
(you will learn about “incidence rate ratiOS†during your lectures
next year).
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