There are far too many variables to be able to answer this question with any degree of accuracy. It will depend on some of the following:
Crime related elements
- Degree of fraud
- Federal or state charges
- Existence of conspiracy
Personal history related elements
- Past arrest record
- Past conviction record
- Extenuating circumstances
Trial related elements
- Jurors
- Ratio of men to women
- Ratio of those with higher education
- Past conviction hisotries
- Ratio of races
- Comparitive racial make-up to the defendant
- Level of media coverage
- Trial venue
- Small town vs. large city
- Prosecutorial conviction record
- Trial experience of defense attorney