What affects seasonal change more Earth's tilted axis or the distance to the sun during Earths orbit?

seasons are caused by the tilt of the earth. since the earth is in a slight eliptical orbit around the sun, when we are closer to the sun in January is where the northern hemisphere will still have winter and further from the sun in July when summer occurs. this is expected to flip in 26,000 years because of earths 3rd axis known as axial precession