If the sequence matters (you want H-H-T in that order), then . . .
Probability of the first head = 0.5
Probability of the second head = 0.5
Probability of the tail on the 3rd toss = 0.5
Probability of the correct 3-toss sequence = (0.5 x 0.5 x 0.5) = 1/8 = 0.125 = 12.5%
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If the sequence doesn't matter, then the probability is higher.
All the possible results of 3 tosses are:
TTT
TTH
THT
THH
HTT
HTH
HHT
HHH
If the sequence doesn't matter, there are 3 different ways to get 2 heads and 1 tail.
The probability is
3/8 = 0.375 = 37.5%
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