What percent of the possible outcomes of two attempted passes results in Drew Brees Throwing at least one complete pass?

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2026-05-14 20:45

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In a scenario where Drew Brees attempts two passes, we can analyze the outcomes based on the probability of completing each pass. Assuming each pass has a certain probability of being completed (let's denote this probability as ( p )), the possible outcomes are: two complete passes, one complete pass and one incomplete pass (which can occur in two ways), or two incomplete passes. The only outcome where he does not complete at least one pass is if both passes are incomplete. Therefore, the percentage of outcomes resulting in at least one complete pass can be calculated as ( 1 - (1 - p)^2 ), which varies based on the value of ( p ). If, for example, ( p = 0.5 ), then there is a 75% chance of completing at least one pass.

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